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地区社会经济因素对火灾发生的影响
引用本文:崔蔚,杨立中.地区社会经济因素对火灾发生的影响[J].消防科学与技术,2006,25(5):690-693.
作者姓名:崔蔚  杨立中
作者单位:1. 江苏省消防总队,江苏,南京,210036
2. 中国科学技术大学,火灾科学国家重点实验室,安徽,合肥,230026
摘    要:采用回归分析方法,时1997—2001年间江苏省火灾数据和社会经济参数之间关系进行了研究,发现每个经济因素时火灾的发展趋势的影响具有阶段性,且很可能与相关的其他因素有关,由不同教育水平代表的各种标志人口素质的参数对火灾的影响显得非常微弱,但总的趋势是江苏省经济水平的提高时火灾形势有着强烈的向下抑制作用。

关 键 词:火灾  社会经济  回归分析  随机性
文章编号:1009-0029(2006)05-0690-04
修稿时间:2006年2月15日

Influences of the regional social-economic factors on fire occurrences
CUI Wei,YANG Li-zhong.Influences of the regional social-economic factors on fire occurrences[J].Fire Science and Technology,2006,25(5):690-693.
Authors:CUI Wei  YANG Li-zhong
Abstract:Regression analysis was adopted to evaluate the influences of the regional social-economic factors on the fire occurrences in Jiangsu Province from 1997 to 2001. It was found that the level of the economic development of various stages could result in severe constraints on the fire occurrences, in addition to other relevant factors. It was also shown that there was an insignificant effect on the fire cases of the education-indicative social factor. However, the analysis indicated that, in the trend, the development of Social-economical levels in Jiangsu Province would lead to marked and downward inhibition on the fire occurrences.
Keywords:fire  social-economic factors  regression analysis  random
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