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D—S证据理论在大坝安全监控中的应用
引用本文:陶丛丛,徐波,王校利.D—S证据理论在大坝安全监控中的应用[J].红水河,2010,29(2):34-37.
作者姓名:陶丛丛  徐波  王校利
作者单位:河海大学水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室,江苏,南京,210098;河海大学水资源高效利用与工程安全国家工程研究中心,江苏,南京,210098
基金项目:国家科技支撑计划课题,河海大学自然科学基金项目 
摘    要:大坝安全监测系统复杂,各个指标之间存在着不确定性。D—S证据理论作为一种数学工具,在不确定性的表达、组合等方面的优势受到重视。提出一种信息融合D—S证据理论方法应用于大坝安全监控中,以提高大坝安全评价的准确性。并以青铜峡水利枢纽的监测数据为例进行了实例分析,结果表明D—S证据理论是一种科学的安全评价方法,是可行的,有效的。

关 键 词:D—S证据理论  大坝  安全监控

Application of D-S Evidence Theory to Dam Safety Monitoring
TAO Cong-cong,XU Bo,WANG Xiao-li.Application of D-S Evidence Theory to Dam Safety Monitoring[J].Hongshui River,2010,29(2):34-37.
Authors:TAO Cong-cong  XU Bo  WANG Xiao-li
Affiliation:1. State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098 ; 2. National Engineering Research Center of Water Resources Efficient Utilization and Engineering Safety, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098)
Abstract:Dam safety monitoring system is complex as uncertainty exists among various indicators. D-S evidence theory as a mathematical tool has been taken seriously for its advantages in expression and combination of uncertainty. A data fusion method of D-S evidence theory is applied to dam safety monitoring in order to improve the accuracy of dam safety evaluation. A case study is made on monitoring data of Qingtongxia Hydro-complex, and results show that the D-S evidence theory as a scientific safety evaluation method is feasible and effective.
Keywords:D-S evidence theory  dam  safety monitoring
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