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区域电网电能损耗预测方法研究
引用本文:邵汉桥,许汉平,杨东俊.区域电网电能损耗预测方法研究[J].华中电力,2009,22(6):5-8.
作者姓名:邵汉桥  许汉平  杨东俊
作者单位:华中电网有限公司技术中心,湖北,武汉,430077
摘    要:根据区域电网的特点,提出电能损耗递推预测法,采用状态波动系数建立省间交换电量和线损电量、线损率之间的联系,综合考虑负荷形状系数、等值电阻、平均电压、运行时间、功率因素等方面对线损的影响,在省间交换电量预测的基础上实现线损电量和线损率的预测,为电网节能降损及经济运行提供参考。

关 键 词:区域电网  线损预测  递推预测法  交换电量预测

Regional Power Grid Loss Prediction Method Research
SHAO Han-qiao,XU Han-ping,YANG Dong-jun.Regional Power Grid Loss Prediction Method Research[J].Central China Electric Power,2009,22(6):5-8.
Authors:SHAO Han-qiao  XU Han-ping  YANG Dong-jun
Affiliation:Technology Center of Central China Grid Company Limited,Wuhan 430077,China;Technology Center of Central China Grid Company Limited,Wuhan 430077,China;Technology Center of Central China Grid Company Limited,Wuhan 430078,China
Abstract:Based on the characteristics of regional power grid,proposed grid loss rate recursive forecasting method,using state of fluctuation coefficient to establish the link between inter-provincial exchange power,grid loss power and grid loss rate. Taken comprehensive consideration of load shape factor,equivalent resistance,average voltage,running time, the power factor etc to the impact of grid losses, based on the inter-provincial exchange power prediction,forecasting the grid loss power and grid loss rate.Providing reference for grid Loss Reduction and grid economic operation.
Keywords:regional power grid  grid loss forecast  recursive prediction method  exchange power prediction
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