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基于模糊故障树的城市燃气输配系统安全评估
引用本文:张增刚,朱向凤.基于模糊故障树的城市燃气输配系统安全评估[J].山东建筑工程学院学报,2006,21(3):239-242,247.
作者姓名:张增刚  朱向凤
作者单位:山东建筑大学热能工程学院 山东济南250101(张增刚),淄博焦化煤气公司 山东淄博255000(朱向凤)
基金项目:山东省自然科学基金项目(Y2003F04)
摘    要:将城市燃气输配系统划分为储配站、输配管网和用户三部分,在对城市燃气输配系统某一部分故障分析的基础上,建立了城市燃气输配系统的故障树模型。针对系统的事件发生概率不确定情况,将模糊数学引入到故障树方法,给出了燃气输配系统的模糊故障树安全评估方法。研究表明,该方法用于输配系统的安全评估是行之有效的。

关 键 词:燃气输配  模糊数  故障树分析  安全评估
文章编号:1003-5990(2006)03-0239-04
收稿时间:2005-11-17
修稿时间:2005-11-17

Safety assessment to urban gas transmission and distribution system based on fuzzy fault tree
ZHANG Zeng-gang, ZHU Xiang-feng.Safety assessment to urban gas transmission and distribution system based on fuzzy fault tree[J].Journal of Shandong Institute of Architecture and Engineering,2006,21(3):239-242,247.
Authors:ZHANG Zeng-gang  ZHU Xiang-feng
Affiliation:1. School of Thermal Energy Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan 250101, China; 2. Zibo Jiaohua Gas Company, Zibo 255000, China
Abstract:In this paper,the urban gas transmission and distribution system is classified into three parts: tank factory,pipelines and client.Based on trouble analyzing of various parts of urban gas transmission and distribution system,a fuzzy fault tree of urban gas transmission and distribution system is built.To solve the problem of uncertain failure rate of root and mid events,fuzzy theory is introduced into the fault tree analysis,and fuzzy fault tree based safety assessment method is given for urban gas transmission and distribution system.The failure rate of root events is described as fuzzy number.Practical results show that this method is effective to assess the system.
Keywords:gas transmission and distribution  fuzzy number  fault tree analysis  safety assessment
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