| 泥石流危险范围预测模型及在昆明东川城区的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李阔1,唐川2. 泥石流危险范围预测模型及在昆明东川城区的应用[J]. 延边大学学报(自然科学版), 2006, 0(4): 69-72 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李阔1 唐川2 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.云南大学资源环境与地球科学学院,云南昆明650091;2.成都理工大学地质灾害防治与地质环境保护国家实验室,四川成都610059 |
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| 摘 要： | 结合泥石流危险范围模型实验数据,运用多元回归分析方法探讨了泥石流危险范围预测,并进行了误差分析。以昆明市东川城区后山3条泥石流沟为例,运用该模型对其危险范围进行了预测分析,为东川城区泥石流防灾提供了科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 泥石流 城市 多元回归分析 危险范围 昆明 |
Application of Prediction Model of Hazard Range about Debris Flows around Dongchuan Zone in Kunming |
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| LI Kuo1,TANG Chuan2. Application of Prediction Model of Hazard Range about Debris Flows around Dongchuan Zone in Kunming[J]. Journal of Yanbian University (Natural Science), 2006, 0(4): 69-72 |
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| Authors: | LI Kuo1 TANG Chuan2 |
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| Affiliation: | 1.School of Resource Enivironment and Earth Science, Yunnan University, Kunming 650091, Yunnan, China; 2.State key Laboratoryo fGeohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610069, Sichuan, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the experiment data of hazard range model of debris flows, this paper set up the predictionmodel of hazard range of debris flows by application of the methodology of multiple regression analysis and theexamines the results by errors of the equations. The studied area is located in Dongchuan zone in Kunming city.Using the prediction model of hazard range of debris flows, this paper calculates and obtains the hazard range ofthe above three debris flow valleys of the area. The research results provides methodology for the prevention andreduction of hazard. |
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| Keywords: | debris flow cities multiple regression analysis hazard range Kunming |
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