| 定量化风险评估及动态规划控制策略 |
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| 引用本文： | 杜庆峰,王帆.定量化风险评估及动态规划控制策略[J].数字社区&智能家居,2009(16). |
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| 作者姓名： | 杜庆峰 王帆 |
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| 作者单位： | 同济大学软件工程实验室; |
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| 基金项目： | 上海市信息化委员会资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 该文以软件风险暴露度作为评估项目风险的判据,将风险控制转变为求解最小风险暴露度的最优化问题,从而制订出了风险的定量化识别及优化控制的整体方案。文章首先介绍软件风险管理的传统模式,之后对基于暴露度的风险评估方法进行细化和改进,最后应用逆序递推的动态规划思想设计一个优化控制算法,并通过实验证明了该算法的有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 风险管理 风险暴露度 动态规划 全局最优化 |
Quantitative Risk Evaluation and Optimization Control Strategy |
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| WANG Fan.Quantitative Risk Evaluation and Optimization Control Strategy[J].Digital Community & Smart Home,2009(16). |
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| Authors: | WANG Fan |
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| Affiliation: | WANG Fan (Laboratory of Software Engineering,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the computing of software risk exposure,this paper convert the control of software risk into the problem of global optimization under a given investment. First it describes the relating concepts and traditional methods of risk management,and then put forward an improved expression of risk exposure computing for risk assessment. Finally a software risk control strategy based on reversed dynamic programming algorithm is presented,with an example to verify its validity and efficiency. |
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| Keywords: | risk management risk exposure dynamic programming algorithm global optimization |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
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