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Non‐parametric testing for seasonally and periodically integrated processes
Authors:Denise R Osborn
Affiliation:University of Manchester
Abstract:This article obtains the asymptotic distributions of the seasonal variance ratio tests proposed by A.M.R. Taylor (2005,Journal of Econometrics 124, 33) when these tests are applied to a periodically integrated process PI(1)]. In contrast to the situation where the process is seasonally integrated SI(1)], all test statistics in the PI(1) case are driven by a single stochastic trend and hence follow the distribution obtained by Breitung (2002, Journal of Econometrics 108, 343) for the original (non‐seasonal) variance ratio test. The multivariate non‐parametric cointegration test of Breitung (2002 Journal of Econometrics 108, 343) is also investigated to distinguish between PI and SI processes. A Monte Carlo analysis shows how these results apply in finite samples for both SI and PI processes and an empirical application investigates seasonally unadjusted quarterly US industrial production series.
Keywords:Seasonality  periodic integration  seasonal integration  variance ratio tests  non‐parametric cointegration tests  industrial production  C12  C22
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