舰艇编队航材快速补给的系统动力学模型

为解决对大型水面舰艇编队所需的航材的供给不足问题,建立带有自动调节系统的舰艇编队航材快速补给趋势的预测模型,对舰艇编队航材快速补给进行研究。采用系统动力学方法,构建影响舰载机分遣队快速补给效率的各元素因果回路图与存量流量图及预测模型,并以系统动力学软件Vensim PLE 5.9为平台进行建模仿真。运行结果表明：该模型在扰动条件下能进行航材快速补给趋势的预测,可为舰载运输机分遣队快速补给方案的制定提供理论依据。

System Dynamics Model on Rapid Supply of Spare Parts in Carrier Formation

Establish the automatic regulatory systematic forecasting model about rapid supply of spare parts trend in carrier formation to solve the shortage of spare parts in the major surface carrier formation.Studied the rapid supply of spare parts for carrier formation with the method of system dynamics,this article built causal loop diagrams and stock and flow diagrams about every element of impacting the rapid supply rate of detachment in carrier plane and simulated on the basis of system dynamics software of Vensim PLE 5.9.The simulation results show that this model can predict the rapid supply trend of spare parts under condition of perturbation,and provide the theoretical evidence for scheduling the rapid supply method from detachment in carrier aircraft.