Prognostic values of echocardiography compared with clinical variables in suspected heart disease. Multivariate analysis of long-term prognosprognosis in 456 patients

The aim of the study was to evaluate the prognostic significance of clinical and echocardiographic data in patients referred for echocardiography in a retrospective analysis. Four hundred and fifty-six patients from a district hospital were studied. Survival after three years was 64%. Multivariate analysis identified five factors with independent prognostic information (relative risks of death are shown in brackets): left ventricular wall motion index (WMI) < or = 1.2 by echocardiography (2.5), status as in-patient (2.1), age > 65 years (1.7), clinical heart failure (1.9) and atrial fibrillation (1.5). When information on age, hospitalisation status, heart failure and heart rhythm had already been entered in the Cox model, echocardiographic results such as decreased WMI and dilated right ventricle still gave further prognostic information. We conclude that among conventional clinical and echocardiographic data WMI was the strongest predictor of long-term survival, and, despite prior knowledge of major clinical features, echocardiography provided further prognostic information.