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铱星星座效能评估BDP-ADC模型
引用本文:邵瑞瑞,方志耕,刘思峰,王召,聂媛媛,高素,解士昆.铱星星座效能评估BDP-ADC模型[J].控制与决策,2021,36(3):733-740.
作者姓名:邵瑞瑞  方志耕  刘思峰  王召  聂媛媛  高素  解士昆
作者单位:南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,南京211106;中国空间技术研究院通信卫星事业部,北京100094
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(71671091);南京航空航天大学基本业务费基础研究重大项目培育基金项目(NP2019104);南京航空航天大学基本业务费重大科技成果培育基金项目(NC2019003).
摘    要:为解决传统模型在度量时间连续状态有限的星座效能时存在的困难,构建一种基于生灭过程的评估铱星效能的BDP-ADC模型.首先,利用生灭过程描述星座状态的转移过程,得出该状态转移过程存在极限分布,并定义铱星的可用度;其次,结合Kolmogorov前进方程来衡量星座在任务执行过程中的可信度;再次,根据建立的铱星星座能力评估指标体系,利用熵权法求得指标的权重,结合全概率公式对星座能力进行表征;最后,利用BDP-ADC效能评估模型得出铱星星座效能动态关系式,求出铱星的效能,从而为星座的设计及优化等问题提供依据.

关 键 词:铱星  生灭过程  BDP-ADC模型  效能评估  熵权法

BDP-ADC model for Iridium constellation effectiveness evaluation
SHAO Rui-rui,FANG Zhi-geng,LIU Si-feng,WANG Zhao,NIE Yuan-yuan,GAO Su,XIE Shi-kun.BDP-ADC model for Iridium constellation effectiveness evaluation[J].Control and Decision,2021,36(3):733-740.
Authors:SHAO Rui-rui  FANG Zhi-geng  LIU Si-feng  WANG Zhao  NIE Yuan-yuan  GAO Su  XIE Shi-kun
Affiliation:College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics,Nanjing211106,China;Institute of Telecommunication Satellite,China Academy of Space TechnologyCAST,Beijing100094,China
Abstract:In order to solve the difficulties of traditional models in measuring the constellation effectiveness with continuous time and limited states, a BDP-ADC(birth-death process-availability, dependability, capability) model for evaluating the effectiveness of Iridium is constructed. Firstly, the birth and death process is used to describe the transition process of constellation state, and the limit distribution of the state transition process is obtained, and the availability of Iridium is defined. Then, Kolmogorov forward equation is used to measure the dependability of the constellation in the mission execution process. Then, according to the established Iridium capability evaluation index system, the weight of indexes is obtained by using the entropy weight method, and the constellation capability is calculated with the full probability formula. Finally, the dynamic relationship of Iridium constellation effectiveness is obtained by using the BDP-ADC effectiveness evaluation model, and the Iridium constellation effectiveness is obtained, which provides a basis for constellation design and optimization.
Keywords:Iridium  brith-death process  BDP-ADC model  effectiveness evaluation  entropy weight method
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