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基于DPSIR-模糊集对评价模型的湖北省水资源评价
引用本文:刘君龙,陈进,袁喆,许继军,田承伟,苗恒录. 基于DPSIR-模糊集对评价模型的湖北省水资源评价[J]. 南水北调与水利科技(中英文), 2020, 18(3): 57-64
作者姓名:刘君龙  陈进  袁喆  许继军  田承伟  苗恒录
作者单位:(1.长江水利委员会长江科学院,武汉430010;2.抚州市水文局,江西 抚州 344000;3.水利部 牧区水利科学研究所,呼和浩特010020)
基金项目:国家重点研发计划(2017YFC1502404);国家自然科学基金〔51709008)
摘    要:为合理评价湖北省水资源态势,在系统考虑湖北省水资源特点和实际情况的基础上,同时遵循代表性、科学性、可操作性和系统性等指标体系构建原则,构建了基于驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应(DPSIR)概念框架的湖北省水资源评价指标体系,并将熵权法与模糊集对分析法相结合,建立了水资源评价模型,对湖北省2008-2016年水资源状态进行了定量评价。研究结果表明:(1)2008-2016年湖北省水资源状态呈现出波动式升高的趋势,研究结果表明近9年间湖北省的水资源状态良好;(2)从水资源DPSIR评价结果可以看出,研究时段内水资源影响和水资源响应是影响湖北省水资源状况的最重要因素。

关 键 词:湖北省;水资源评价;DPSIR概念框架;熵权法;模糊集对分析法

Evaluation of Water Resources in Hubei Province Based on DPSIR-Fuzzy Set Pair Model
LIU Junlong,CHEN Jin,YUAN Zhe,XU Jijun,TlAN Chengwei,MIAO Henglu. Evaluation of Water Resources in Hubei Province Based on DPSIR-Fuzzy Set Pair Model[J]. South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology, 2020, 18(3): 57-64
Authors:LIU Junlong  CHEN Jin  YUAN Zhe  XU Jijun  TlAN Chengwei  MIAO Henglu
Abstract:To reasonably evaluate the water resource state in Hubei Province, based on the systematical consideration of characteristics and actual situation of water resources in Hubei Province, following the principles of representative, scientific, operational and systematic index system construction, we have built the water resource evaluation index system of the Hubei Province on the basis of the Driving Force-Pressure-State-lmpact-Response (DPSIR) concept framework, established a water resource evaluation model by combining the entropy weight method with the fuzzy set pair analysis melhod and conducted quantitative evaluations of the water resource states from 2008 tO 2016. The results have show: (1) The waler resource status in Hubei Province shows a trend of fluctuating increase from 2008 to 2016, which shows that the water resources in Hubei Province is in good condition: (2) From the DPSIR evaluation results of water resources, we can see that the impact of water resources and the response of water resources are the most important factors affecting water resources condition in Hubei Province.
Keywords:Hubei Province   Water Resources Evaluation   DPSIR Conceptual Framework   Entropy Weight Method   Fuzzy SetPair Analysis Method
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