21世纪初叶炼油工业展望

为适应新的形势，世界各大石油公司都在积极进行企业布局、装置构成和产品结构的调整。在世纪之交，世界炼油工业有如下变化趋势：在原油加工能力略有增长的情况下，炼油厂数反而减少；炼油厂和装置规模大型化；装置构成发生变化，催化裂化、加氢裂化和加氢处理、焦化、含氧化合物装置能力所占比例有所增加，催化重整和润滑油装置能力比例赂有下降；原油加工深度进一步提高，燃料油产量减少；清洁生产和清洁燃料生产得到发展；炼油化工一体化、炼油厂信息化和智能化进一步推行。以上发展趋势在21世纪初叶仍将继续下去。

OUTLOOK OF OIL REFINING INDUSTRY IN THE EARLY 21ST CENTURY

In order to meet the new situation, petroleum corporations in the world are making positive adjustments of the enterprise layout, unit configuration and product slate. Change trends in global oil refining industry are as follows at the turn from 20th to 21st century: (1) The number of refineries have been reduced while crude processing capacity increased slightly; (2) Refinery and unit tend to be large scaled; (3) Unit configuration has been changed with the capacity ratio of catalytic cracking, hydrocracking, hydrotreating, coking and oxygen compound unit increased and that of catalytic reforming and lube unit decreased; (4) Crude processing has been further upgraded and the fuel oil output has been reduced; (5) Clean production process and clean fuel production have been developed; (6) Plant of petroleum and chemicals have been integrated and the information intelligence in refinery has been further implemented. All the above mentioned development trends will continue to prevail in the early 21st century.