| 我国农药需求影响因子分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 束放,唐启义,邵振润,时嵩,程家安. 我国农药需求影响因子分析[J]. 农药, 2010, 49(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | 束放 唐启义 邵振润 时嵩 程家安 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 全国农业技术推广服务中心,北京,100093
2. 浙江大学农业与生物技术学院,杭州,310029 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)，农业公益性行业科研专项，农业部高毒农药替代项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过分析我国1950-2008年间农药需求的调查数据,了解我国农药使用现状,并且从作物病虫草鼠害发生、社会经济技术变革、农业生物技术进步、病虫草害抗药性、地理环境及生态条件以及气候变化诸多方面对农药用量的影响等方面进行了详尽的分析,明确了农药用量的变化受多种因素的影响.地理生态条件是影响杀虫剂、杀菌剂、除草剂3大类农药品种结构的主要因素;农作物种植面积是影响农药需求总量关键因子;气候条件、病虫草害发生及抗药性影响农药用量年度间波动;植保技术的变革对农药需求也会产生较大的影响.
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| 关 键 词： | 农药需求 预测 影响因子 |
Analyze Influence Factors of Pesticide Application of China |
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| SHU Fang,TANG Qi-yi,SHAO Zhen-run,SHI Song,CHENG Jia-an. Analyze Influence Factors of Pesticide Application of China[J]. Pesticides, 2010, 49(4) |
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| Authors: | SHU Fang TANG Qi-yi SHAO Zhen-run SHI Song CHENG Jia-an |
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| Affiliation: | 1.National Agricultural Technology Promotion Service Center/a>;Beijing 100093/a>;China/a>;2.Zhejiang University Agriculture and Biotechnology College/a>;Hangzhou 310029/a>;China |
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| Abstract: | By analyzing influence factors of pesticide application during 1950-2008 in China, we consider that pesticide using mount was affected by many factors. Geography ecological condition was dominant factor to affect structure of pesticides, germicides and herbicides varieties. It was key factor for crops sowing areas to limit the whole amount of insecticides. The climatic condition, occurring and resistance of pests, diseases and weeds were influenced on insecticide using amount changes every year. And technol... |
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| Keywords: | insecticide demand forecasting factors |
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