民族地区入境旅游与经济增长的实证研究

本文通过建立VAR模型,运用协整分析、Granger因果检验以及脉冲响应函数来分析民族地区入境旅游与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明,民族地区入境旅游与经济增长之间存在着长期稳定的协整关系,通过建立误差修正模型说明变量间存在的动态均衡关系。同时,Granger因果检验表明民族地区入境旅游收入与经济增长之间存在单向的因果关系。

A Case Study of the Inbound Tourism and Economic Development in Ethnic-Minority-Populated Areas

This paper breaks down the relations between inbound tourismand economic growth in ethnic-minority-populated areas by establishing VAR models,and employing co-integration analyses,Ganger cause-andeffect test and impulse response function.The findings prove that there is a steady co-integration relationship between them.The variables are also proved by establishing error correction model to have a dynamic equilibrium relationship.In addition,Granger cause-and-effect test demonstrates that there is a cause-and-effect relationship between the inbound tourism and economic growth.