| 应用灰色组合模型预测管道的腐蚀速率 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘晓东,李著信. 应用灰色组合模型预测管道的腐蚀速率[J]. 腐蚀与防护, 2007, 28(9): 488-490 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘晓东 李著信 |
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| 作者单位： | 解放军后勤工程学院,重庆,400016;解放军后勤工程学院,重庆,400016 |
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| 摘 要： | 将灰色系统理论与时间序列分析方法结合,建立灰色组合模型。引入Box-Jenkins模型,对随机性成分建模。应用灰色组合模型预测管道腐蚀速率的变化趋势,通过实例分析,检验了该模型的预测效果,并与其它几种方法比较,得出其精度非常高的结论。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色模型 时间序列 管道 腐蚀速率 预测 |
APPLICATION OF GREY COMBINATORIAL MODEL TO PREDICT CORROSION RATE OF PIPE |
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| LIU Xiao-dong,LI Zhu-xin. APPLICATION OF GREY COMBINATORIAL MODEL TO PREDICT CORROSION RATE OF PIPE[J]. Corrosion & Protection, 2007, 28(9): 488-490 |
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| Authors: | LIU Xiao-dong LI Zhu-xin |
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| Abstract: | Grey system theory and method of time series analysis were combined to create a grey combinatorial model.Box-Jenkins model was introduced to analyze random component.Grey combinatorial model was applied to predict the change trend of corrosion rate of pipe,and the performance of the model was proved to be better by an example.The model was compared with other methods,and a conclusion that the precision of the model is superior was got. |
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| Keywords: | Grey model Time series Pipe Corrosion rate Prediction |
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