Decision theoretic approach to real-time robust identification

A decision-theoretic approach to the estimation of unknown parameters from a linear discrete-time dynamic measurement model in the presence of disturbance uncertainty is considered. The unknown disturbance statistics are characterized by a certain class of distributions to which the real disturbance distribution is confined. Using game theory and the asymptotic estimation error covariance matrix as the criteria of how good an estimator is, the stochastic gradient-type algorithm is shown to be optimal in the min-max sense. Since the optimal solution is not tractable in practice, several suboptimal procedures are derived on the basis of suitable approximations. The convergence of the derived algorithms is established theoretically using the ordinary differential equation approach. Monte Carlo simulation results are presented for the quantitative performance evaluation of the algorithms.