沿海地区应对气候变化和人口快速增长的韧性土地利用规划——以美国佛罗里达州马坦萨斯河流域为例

气候变化引起的海平面上升以及人口快速增长引起的土地利用变化为新时期全球沿海低洼地区的土地利用规划带来了新的挑战.有别于传统的土地利用规划理念与方法,引入韧性城市的概念,以美国佛罗里达州马坦萨斯河入海口地区应对气候变化和人口快速增长的韧性土地利用规划为例,通过构建基于地理信息系统的综合模型,整合海平面上升影响模型、物种栖息地模型和土地利用预测模型来预测适应海平面上升的土地利用规划方案.研究的结果可为中国沿海地区特别是三角洲地区应对气候变化提供借鉴.

Resilient Land Use Planning to Deal with Climate Change and Rapid Population Growth in Coastal Areas: A Case Study of Matanzas River Estuary in Florida, USA

Coupled with rapid population growth in the coastal regions, sea level rise caused by global climate change may bring new challenges for land use planning in low-lying coastal regions. Different from the traditional land use planning concepts and methods, this paper introduces the concept of resilient land use planning. Taking Matanzas River basin in Florida as an example, it integrates sea level rise impact model, species habitat model and land use prediction model by building a comprehensive model based on GIS. The model is used to predict land use planning schemes adapted to sea level rise. The results of the study can provide reference for coastal areas, especially for delta areas, in response to climate change in China.