基于原型观测资料的模糊积分重力坝风险综合评价模型及应用

针对重力坝风险评价中复杂性和模糊性的特点，通过对重力坝风险特点的分析和对风险因子的有效识别，将重力坝原观监测资料和模糊数学理论应用于重力坝风险评价中，提出了重力坝风险评价指标体系、定量和定性指标的相关计算方法和分级标准，构建了重力坝风险综合评价模型。利用该模型评价了官地重力坝的风险状况，得出其运行风险较低的结论，符合事实，验证了该模型的可操作性和合理性。

Application of Fuzzy Integral Comprehensive Assessment Model in Gravity Dam Risk Based on Primary Monitoring Data

For the complexity and fuzziness of the gravity dam risk evaluation, based on the analysis of the risk characteristics of the gravity dam and effective identification of risk factors, the comprehensive evaluation model of gravity dam risk is constructed by applying the original monitoring data of gravity dam and the fuzzy mathematics theory. The gravity dam risk evaluation index system, relevant calculation methods of quantitative and qualitative indicators and classification standard is put forward. The model is used to evaluate the risk situation of Guandi dam. It draws the conclusion that the operation risk is low, which accords with the actual situation. The maneuverability and rationality of the model is verified.