| 基于装接容量的负荷预测及其在配电网规划中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李春杰,华月申,顾黎强.基于装接容量的负荷预测及其在配电网规划中的应用[J].上海电力学院学报,2015,31(6):529-532. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李春杰 华月申 顾黎强 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海交通大学电子信息及电气工程学院, 上海 200030;国网上海浦东供电公司调度控制中心, 上海 200122,国网上海浦东供电公司调度控制中心, 上海 200122,国网上海浦东供电公司调度控制中心, 上海 200122 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据用户和配电网设备的历史负荷数据,研究了用户装接容量与需用系数之间的关系,基于点、线、面的负荷预测思路,运用需用系数法、业扩工询法等预测方法,更准确地对负荷进行预测,并应用于实际电网规划和设备负荷控制.
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| 关 键 词： | 负荷预测 装接容量 电网规划 |
| 收稿时间： | 6/2/2015 12:00:00 AM |
Assembling Capacity-based Load Forecasting and Its Application in Power Distribution Network Planning |
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| LI Chunjie,HUA Yueshen and GU Liqiang.Assembling Capacity-based Load Forecasting and Its Application in Power Distribution Network Planning[J].Journal of Shanghai University of Electric Power,2015,31(6):529-532. |
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| Authors: | LI Chunjie HUA Yueshen and GU Liqiang |
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| Affiliation: | School of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200030, China;Dispatch Control Center, Shanghai Pudong Power Supply Company, State Grid, Shanghai 200122, China,Dispatch Control Center, Shanghai Pudong Power Supply Company, State Grid, Shanghai 200122, China and Dispatch Control Center, Shanghai Pudong Power Supply Company, State Grid, Shanghai 200122, China |
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| Abstract: | The relationship between users'' assembling capacity and the demand factor is studied according to the historical load data of user and distribution network. Based on the "point, line, surface" load forcasting method, load is more accurately forcast by means of the demand factors method, the industry expansion work polling method and so on. This method is also applicable in real power grid planning and equipment load control. |
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| Keywords: | load forcasting assembling capacity power grid planning |
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