| 时序分析用于航空预测模型的研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 夏学文.时序分析用于航空预测模型的研究[J].纺织高校基础科学学报,1996,9(2):167-169,173. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 夏学文 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 湖南纺织高等专科学校基础部 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用样本数据建立了时序模型，利用组合模型将样本序列分解成确定性成分和随机成分两部分，对随机成分用ＡＲ模型拟合，并采用Ｍａｒｐｌｅ算法进行参数估计，然后预报检验模型，取得好的效果。
|
| 关 键 词： | 航空运量 时间序列模型 AR模型 预报 检验 |
The Study of the Forecast Method of Air with Time Series Analysis |
| |
| Xia Xuewen.The Study of the Forecast Method of Air with Time Series Analysis[J].Basic Sciences Journal of Textile Universities,1996,9(2):167-169,173. |
| |
| Authors: | Xia Xuewen |
| |
| Affiliation: | Hunan Texitile College |
| |
| Abstract: | In this paper, we study the time sevies model of air transportation, we construct the time series model using sample data,use the combination model,sample data into determine parts and random parts, to random parts, we built AR model,and estimate its parameters using marple algorithm.Through forecasting,it shows that the model is right. |
| |
| Keywords: | air transportation time series analysis AR model forecast test |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
|
