A Bayesian network approach to root cause diagnosis of process variations

This paper addresses the challenges inherent in root cause diagnosis of process variations in a production machining environment. We develop and present a process monitoring and diagnosis approach based on a Bayesian belief network for incorporating multiple process metrics from multiple sensor sources in sequential machining operations to identify the root cause of process variations and provide a probabilistic confidence level of the diagnosis. The vast majority of previous work in machining process monitoring has focused on single-operation tool wear monitoring. The focus of the present work is to develop a methodology for diagnosing the root cause of process variations that are often confounded in process monitoring systems, namely workpiece hardness, stock size, and tool wear variations. To achieve this goal, multiple sensor metrics have been identified with statistical correlations to the process faults of interest. Data from multiple sensors on sequential machining operations are then combined through a causal belief network framework to provide a probabilistic diagnosis of the root cause of the process variation.