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基于模糊集的电力系统神经网络负荷预报研究
引用本文:刘涤尘,夏昌浩,胡翔勇,刘黎明. 基于模糊集的电力系统神经网络负荷预报研究[J]. 武汉大学学报(工学版), 2002, 35(4): 68-71
作者姓名:刘涤尘  夏昌浩  胡翔勇  刘黎明
作者单位:1. 武汉大学电气工程学院,湖北,武汉,430072
2. 三峡大学电气信息学院,湖北,宜昌,443002
摘    要:提出了电力系统短期负荷预报基于模糊集的神经网络方法 .该方法计及了天气和日期特征量 ,具有训练时间短预测精度高的特点 .采用两种学习算法 ,依据模糊集概念用某地区电网实际数据建立样本集后 ,对ANN进行了训练 ,通过分析比较得出了优化模型 .计算事例表明用该方法是可行和有效的

关 键 词:模糊集  神经网络(ANN)  短期负荷预报  电力系统  BP算法
文章编号:1006-155X(2002)04-068-04
修稿时间:2001-12-21

Load forecasting of power system using artificial neural network based on fuzzy set
LIU Di_chen+,XIA Chang_hao+,HU Xiang_yong+,LIU Li_ming+. Load forecasting of power system using artificial neural network based on fuzzy set[J]. Engineering Journal of Wuhan University, 2002, 35(4): 68-71
Authors:LIU Di_chen+  XIA Chang_hao+  HU Xiang_yong+  LIU Li_ming+
Affiliation:LIU Di_chen+1,XIA Chang_hao+2,HU Xiang_yong+2,LIU Li_ming+1
Abstract:A short_term load forecasting approach using artificial neural network based on fuzzy set is presented. The weather variables and date variables are considered; therefore the approach is better at respects of training time and forecasting accuracy. After training specimen set is established based on actual data of a region, two algorithms are used to train ANN in order to acquire more better results. The calculation results show that this approach is practical and effective.
Keywords:fuzzy set  artificial neural network  short_term load forecasting  power system  BP algorithm  
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