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A NOTE ON ASYMPTOTIC INFERENCE IN AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS WITH ROOTS ON THE UNIT CIRCLE
Authors:Juha Ahtola  George C. Tiao
Affiliation:Department of Economics, University of Helsinki;Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago
Abstract:Abstract. An estimation and inference procedure is proposed for parameters of the p th order autoregressive model with roots both on the unit circle and outside the unit circle. The procedure is motivated by the fact that the parameter estimates of the nonstationary part of the model have higher order consistency properties than the parameter estimates of the stationary part. The procedure allows the use of the known asymptotic distributional results of purely nonstationary models and purely stationary models. Only ordinary least squares routines are needed.
Keywords:Asymptotic theory    autoregressive models    ordinary least squares    roots on the unit circle
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