| 重大节日期间电网日负荷预测方法的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈志业,王贵保,牛东晓,陈维曾,刘适普.重大节日期间电网日负荷预测方法的研究[J].华北电力大学学报,1992(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈志业 王贵保 牛东晓 陈维曾 刘适普 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力学院电子系，华北电力学院电子系，华北电力学院电子系，华北电力学院电子系，华北电力学院电子系 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文提出了运用灰色预测模型和几何回归模型预测重大节日期间电网日负荷曲线的方法,并编制了相应软件。实用表明,所提预测方法预测精度较高,计算速度快,相应软件使用方便。该软件的应用将会提高电力系统运行的经济性和安全性。
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| 关 键 词： | 日负荷曲线 灰色模型 几何回归 后验差检验 相对误差 |
A RESEARCH ON DAILY LOAD PREDICTION METHODS FOR POWER SYSTEMS DURING THE GREAT HOLIDAY |
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| Abstract: | A method to use the grey prediction model and geometric regression model to predict the daily load curve of power systems during the great holiday is proposed. A relevant software is presented. By practical application, it is proved that the prediction method has some advantages that the prediction accuracy is satisfactory for use, that the calculating speed is fast, and that the relevant software is used conveniently. Through using the software, tue economy and safety of power systems will be improved. |
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