| 含趋势项的周期迭加预报模式 |
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| 引用本文： | 闵骞. 含趋势项的周期迭加预报模式[J]. 江西水利科技, 1996, 22(3): 150-154 |
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| 作者姓名： | 闵骞 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西省都昌蒸发实验站 |
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| 摘 要： | 提出一种含趋势项的周期迭加模式，并将它用于鄱阳湖年最高水位的长期预报，效果较好，明显优于不含趋势项的常规周期迭加模式。
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| 关 键 词： | 单向性变化 趋势项 周期迭加 水文预报 |
THE PERIOD SUPERPOSITION FORECAST MODEL INCLUDING TREND ITEMS |
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| Min Qian. THE PERIOD SUPERPOSITION FORECAST MODEL INCLUDING TREND ITEMS[J]. Jiangxi Hydraulic Science & Technology, 1996, 22(3): 150-154 |
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| Authors: | Min Qian |
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| Affiliation: | Jiangxi Province Duchang Evaporation Station Duchang 332600 |
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| Abstract: | The periodic superposition model including trend items is presented in this paper, and it was used to forecast the year highest water- level of Poyang Lake. The good results was achieved. It's' proved that this kind of forecast model is much better than the common medel which doesn't include trend items. |
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| Keywords: | Unidirectional variation Trend items Periodic superposition Poyang Lake Thehighest water- level of year |
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