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| 沥青路面使用性能预测模型的研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 宋金华,石培峰,孙玉涛,崔武文.沥青路面使用性能预测模型的研究[J].河北工业大学学报,2007,36(4):101-104. |
| 作者姓名： | 宋金华 石培峰 孙玉涛 崔武文 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 河北工业大学,土木工程学院,天津,300132 2. 河北省沧州市公路处,河北,沧州,061000 3. 天津港航工程有限公司,水工项目部,天津,300457 |
| 基金项目： | 河北省科学技术研究与发展计划(07215651) |
| 摘 要： | 应用引入回归技术的马尔可夫过程建模方法,建立使用性能变量的预测模型.在进行路面性能预测时,主要从路面损坏状况、结构承载力、行驶舒适性和安全性能四个方面分别评价路面使用性能并加权成路面综合评价指标.先对4项指标分别预测,再综合各预测指标得到综合指标的预测值.这种预测的方法简化了路况状态和转移概率矩阵的建立.在此以某地区序号14、15两条公路的路面调查数据为基础,得出本地区的路面性能预测方程和回归曲线. |
| 关 键 词： | 路面管理系统 预测模型 回归技术 路面综合评价指标 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-2373（2007）04-0101-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-12-01 |
The Research of Pavement Ability Predicting of Road Pavement Management |
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| SONG Jin-hua,SHI Pei-feng,SUN Yu-tao,CUI Wu-wen.The Research of Pavement Ability Predicting of Road Pavement Management[J].Journal of Hebei University of Technology,2007,36(4):101-104. | |
| Authors: | SONG Jin-hua SHI Pei-feng SUN Yu-tao CUI Wu-wen |
| Affiliation: | 1. School of Civil Engineering, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300132, China; 2. Hebei CangZhou Highway Administration, Hebei CangZhou 061000, China; 3. Tianjin Port and Channel Engineering CO LTD, Tianjin 300457, China |
| Abstract: | Thepaperused Markovprocess analysis to build model and usecharacteristicsvariance predicted model.When predicting pavement abilities, it is mainly evaluated in damage, structure bearing force, amenity design, and safety char-acteristics forpavementability to weightforpavementcomprehensiveevaluationindexes system.The first,we respectively predicted four indexes, then the second, we synthesis every index to get pavement comprehensive evaluation indexes sys-tem. This predicting method simplified pavement state and transition probability matrix. In this paper we are based on Number 14,15 road surveying data to build pavement ability predicting formulation and regression curve. |
| Keywords: | Pavement Management System predicted model regression technology pavement comprehensive evaluation index |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |