| 边际电价预测的三时点模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 张建,马光文,杨东方,过夏明,王立明.边际电价预测的三时点模型[J].水电能源科学,2003,21(2):87-88. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张建 马光文 杨东方 过夏明 王立明 |
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| 作者单位： | 四川大学水电学院,四川,成都,610065 |
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| 摘 要： | 从供求决定价格、价格引导供求两个角度出发，分析了电力市场系统供给、需求与电价的关系，建立了边际电价的三时点预到模型。运用该模型对西部某电网次日96点现货电价进行预到，取得了较好的预测效果。
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| 关 键 词： | 电价预测 电力市场 边际电价 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-7709(2003)02-0087-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年1月7日 |
Model Three Time Points for System Marginal Price Forecasting |
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| Abstract: | Supply, demand and price form the basic relation of market system. In this essay, based on the discussion of the relation between supply and demand and price in power market and the theory of supply and demand determining price and price guiding supply and demand, a model of three time points is established to forecast the next day electricity price by every fifteen minutes, and satisfactory forecasting results are obtained. |
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| Keywords: | price forecast power market system marginal price |
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