电力负荷特性预测软件及其在浙江电网中的应用

介绍了新开发的电力负荷特性预测软件包实现的年持续负荷曲线预测和典型日负荷曲线预测的预测原理和方法.软件既能通过多种负荷预测模型对未来年的年最大负荷、用电量进行预测;也能对未来年的负荷特性曲线进行预测.其中,年持续负荷曲线采用排序法进行预测;典型日负荷曲线采用分行业叠加法进行预测.应用结果表明本软件的预测效果较好,达到了实用化水平.

Power load characteristics forecasting software and its application to Zhejiang Power Grid

A new Windows-based software package developed for power system load characteristics forecasting is proposed,and its principle and methods for forecasting the annual load duration curve and the typical daily load curve are explained.Several kinds of models were developed and used in the software to forecast the annual maximum load and the electricity that will be consumed in the next few years,as well as the load characteristic curve in the future.The ranking method was used for annual duration load curve forecasting,while the method of aggregating by industries was used to forecast the typical daily curve.Applications prove the software convenient,accurate,and practical.