| 模糊时间序列的最优预测方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 石岩,胡昌振,马宝华,谭惠民. 模糊时间序列的最优预测方法[J]. 探测与控制学报, 1999, 21(3): 2 |
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| 作者姓名： | 石岩 胡昌振 马宝华 谭惠民 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京理工大学机电工程与控制国家级重点实验室,北京,100081 |
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| 摘 要： | 以模糊时间序列的 Ｆ Ａ Ｒ（ｐ ）为基础，建立了模糊时间序列的最优预测原则、计算原理及计算方法，探讨了实时预测途径，并通过仿真验证了所建立的最优预测方法的有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 模糊时间序列 最优预测 计算方法 |
| 修稿时间： | 1999-01-10 |
An Optimal Forecasting Method of Fuzzy Time Series |
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| SHI Yan,HU Chang-zhen,MA Bao-hua,TAN Hui-min. An Optimal Forecasting Method of Fuzzy Time Series[J]. Journal of Detection & Control, 1999, 21(3): 2 |
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| Authors: | SHI Yan HU Chang-zhen MA Bao-hua TAN Hui-min |
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| Abstract: | Based on FAR(p) model, an optimal forecasting method of fuzzy time series is established in the paper. Its optimal forecasting criteria, computation principles and computation method are set up, and the real time forecasting approach is exploved. The cffectiveness of the method is demonstrated through computer simulations. |
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| Keywords: | fuzzy time series forecasting computation method |
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