| 用蒙特卡罗模拟法分析配电网可靠性的影响因素 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈星莺,蓝澜,邓立华,廖迎晨. 用蒙特卡罗模拟法分析配电网可靠性的影响因素[J]. 江苏电机工程, 2005, 24(4): 41-43 |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈星莺 蓝澜 邓立华 廖迎晨 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学电气工程学院,江苏,南京,210098;河海大学计算机及信息工程学院,江苏,常州,213022 |
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| 摘 要： | 介绍了配电系统可靠性分析的基本方法与分析指标，采用蒙特卡罗模拟法（MCS）分析了一个简单的辐射型单端供电网络负荷点的可靠性和系统运行特性指标，同时对各元件参数变化给负荷点指标和系统指标的影响作了分析，找出了影响模拟法计算精度和可靠性的因素。
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| 关 键 词： | 蒙特卡罗模拟法 配电网 可靠性 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-0665（2005）04-0041-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-01-27 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-01-27 |
Analysis of Distribution System Reliability Affection Factors Based on Monte Carlo Simulation |
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| CHEN Xing-ying,LAN LAN,DENG Li-hua,LIAO Ying-chen. Analysis of Distribution System Reliability Affection Factors Based on Monte Carlo Simulation[J]. Jiangsu Electrical Engineering, 2005, 24(4): 41-43 |
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| Authors: | CHEN Xing-ying LAN LAN DENG Li-hua LIAO Ying-chen |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, the basic concept and indices of distribution system reliability evaluation are introduced. Load point reliability indices and system performance indices using the Monte Carlo simulation technique are calculated for a simple radial distribution system without altemate supplies.At the same time,the variability of load point reliability indices and system performance indices which are causedby the variability of the component parameter are analyzed.Moreover,the factors which can affectprecision of the result and thereliability are presented. |
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| Keywords: | Monte Carlo simulation power distribution system reliability |
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