基于风险视角的国际PPP项目投标决策模型研究

构建一个规范化的投标决策模型，将有利于国际PPP项目投资者投标决策的科学性和有效性。根据国际PPP项目的特点，以风险管理为视角，在系统分析投标决策影响因素的基础上，构建出国际PPP项目投标决策模型。该模型主要包括投标决策流程和辅助投标决策的计算工具两个部分，投资者采用该模型能够得到各个风险因素的重要性排序、项目的整体风险水平和企业对风险的控制与承受能力评价结果，并以此作为科学决策的依据。并通过算例演示了该模型在国际PPP项目投标决策中应用的可行性和适用性。

A Risk-Based Bid/No Bid Decision Model for International Public-Private Partnership Projects

A standardized bidding decision model is believed to be great helpful for making scientific and effective bid/no bid decision by the international public private partnership （PPP） projects bidders. In this paper, we propose a risk-based bid/no bid decision model for such projects based on the systematic analysis of factors affecting the bid/no bid decision. This model contains two parts： decision making procedure and evaluation method. The procedure guides bidders to make optimal decisions under uncertainty. We use fuzzy analytic network process （ F-ANP ） as a evaluation method. The results from this model provide a reliable decision support for PPP bidders by giving levels of importance of risk factors, overall risk levels, and bidders＇ abilities to control and bear risks. Finally, we give a numerical example to demonstrate the feasibility and applicability of our model.