| 江苏电网夏季气温与用电量敏感性关系初探 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵彤,孙大雁,葛诚,苏理,杨超. 江苏电网夏季气温与用电量敏感性关系初探[J]. 电力需求侧管理, 2004, 6(6): 20-21,26 |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵彤 孙大雁 葛诚 苏理 杨超 |
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| 作者单位： | 江苏省电力公司,江苏,南京,210024;南京理工大学,江苏,南京,210094;江苏省电力公司,江苏,南京,210024;南京理工大学,江苏,南京,210094 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析夏季高温天气对用电负荷的影响，可为电力公司的市场分析与预测部门提供诸如购电决策、电网规划的依据。利用江苏电网2004年夏季高温时段用电量与气温的资料，对江苏电网的用电量与气温之间的敏感度进行了分析，并用多项式拟合及多元性回归理论，推导出江苏电网2004年夏季高温用电量与气温之间敏感度的数学模型。
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| 关 键 词： | 气温 电量 多元回归 敏感度 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-1831(2004)06-0020-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-09-02 |
Research of Sensitive Relation Between Summertime Temperature and Electric Power Consuming in Jiangsu Province |
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| ZHAO Tong,,SUN Da-yan,GE Cheng,SU Li,YANG Chao. Research of Sensitive Relation Between Summertime Temperature and Electric Power Consuming in Jiangsu Province[J]. Power Demand Side Management, 2004, 6(6): 20-21,26 |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Tong SUN Da-yan GE Cheng SU Li YANG Chao |
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| Affiliation: | ZHAO Tong1,2,SUN Da-yan1,GE Cheng2,SU Li2,YANG Chao2 |
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| Abstract: | Based on the electric power consuming quantity and temperature data in summertime 2004 of Jiangsu province,the sensitive relation between them were analyzed. Through using theory of polynomial imitate and multi-unit linear regression,the model of sensitive degree between the power consuming quantity and temperature in summertime 2004 of Jiangsu province is proposed. |
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| Keywords: | Temperature Power consuming quantity Multi-unit linear regression Sensitive degree |
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