Modelling biological efficacy decrease and rate of degradation of chlorpyrifos-methyl on wheat stored under controlled conditions

Insecticide residue degradation and pest survival were observed in wheat treated with a low dose of chlorpyrifos-methyl. Treated wheat was stored in small batches at three controlled temperatures and two levels of moisture content of grain, in equilibrium with r.h. in order to stabilise the water activity in the grain during a storage period of 126 d after insecticide application. Every 3 weeks, samples were taken from treated and untreated control grain in each storage condition. Chlorpyrifos-methyl residues declined regularly with time of storage and an exponential negative regression was fitted with high correlation coefficients in most situations of storage temperature and grain water activity (Aw). A multivariate model to show the respective influence of controlled variables involved in the model of residues breakdown (time, Aw, and temperature) was built up through a multiple regression. This model showed the respective importance of the water activity of grain kernels, temperature and formulation of chlorpyrifos-methyl and their combinations on the decline of residues. Simultaneously, the effectiveness of the residues was checked through bioassays with two target species: Sitophilus oryzae and Tribolium castaneum. Taking into account the intentionally low initial applied dose of chlorpyrifos-methyl, the period after application achieving complete kill of the two test insects was rather short and did not exceed 105 d for S. oryzae in the best conditions for control, i.e. low moisture content and temperature. For high Aw (0.8) and storage temperature 30°C, T. castaneum was effectively controlled (more than 95% kill) only on the day after the treatment, survival occurring at the next test date 21 d after the application. High moisture content and temperature and their interactions were the main variables influencing the decrease in the biological effectiveness with time. The concentration threshold for insect survival was slightly below 1 ppm chlorpyrifos-methyl and was influenced by storage and grain conditions. Implications of these findings on storage pest management practices and on the ability to predict the period of biological effectiveness of residues of chlorpyrifos-methyl are discussed.