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基于蒙特卡罗法的装备保障方案评估
引用本文:王利明,史凤隆,祝华远,贾向军,衣冠琛,郑苏. 基于蒙特卡罗法的装备保障方案评估[J]. 兵工自动化, 2016, 35(1): 23-27. DOI: 10.7690/bgzdh.2016.01.007
作者姓名:王利明  史凤隆  祝华远  贾向军  衣冠琛  郑苏
作者单位:海军航空工程学院青岛校区,山东青岛,266041;中国人民解放军92514部队,山东烟台,264007;中国人民解放军91911部队,海南三亚,572000
基金项目:海军航空装备装备保障方案拟制规范
摘    要:为有效解决部队当前仅仅依靠保障经验对装备保障方案进行评估的问题,提出一种基于蒙特卡罗法的装备保障方案评估方法,综合考虑工序逻辑约束、保障车辆约束和飞机部件可靠性等因素的影响,对3套典型的保障方案进行了实例分析,得到不同保障车辆等保障资源配置对保障工作及时性的影响程度。仿真结果表明,该方法能够明确显示各套装备保障方案的优劣。

关 键 词:蒙特卡罗  航空装备  保障方案  评估
收稿时间:2015-07-23
修稿时间:2015-08-30

Equipment Support Program Evaluation Based on Monte Carlo Method
Wang Liming. Equipment Support Program Evaluation Based on Monte Carlo Method[J]. Ordnance Industry Automation, 2016, 35(1): 23-27. DOI: 10.7690/bgzdh.2016.01.007
Authors:Wang Liming
Affiliation:Qingdao Branch, Naval Aeronautical Engineering Institute, Qingdao 266041, China
Abstract:For effectively resolving the actual military rely on experience to evaluate equipment support plan, put forward a kind of equipment support scheme evaluation method based on Monte Carlo method, taken the process logic, the guarantee vehicle and the reliability, the influence of such factors as three sets of typical protection scheme for the case analysis, different support vehicles and other support resource allocation to the influence degree of the security work timeliness. The simulation results show that the method can clearly show the advantages and disadvantages of various sets of equipment support scheme.
Keywords:Monte Carlo method  aviation equipment  support program  evaluation
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