| 基于GM(1,1)模型的矿井瓦斯涌出量预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张燕朋.基于GM(1,1)模型的矿井瓦斯涌出量预测研究[J].煤炭技术,2012,31(2):101-103. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张燕朋 |
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| 作者单位： | 河南理工大学安全科学与工程学院,河南焦作,454003 |
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| 摘 要： | 以预测矿井瓦斯相对涌出量为研究目的,应用灰色系统理论,建立了预测矿井瓦斯涌出量的灰色系统GM(1,1)模型,并对其不断优化,再采用后验差检验对预测模型的结果进行了判断。实例表明,该模型的计算精度符合工程实际,可用于矿井瓦斯涌出量的预测。其方法与结果对治理瓦斯、保证煤矿的安全生产具有重要意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统理论 瓦斯涌出量 GM(1 1)模型 |
Research of Mine Gas Emission Prediction Based on GM (1, 1) Model |
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| ZHANG Yang-peng.Research of Mine Gas Emission Prediction Based on GM (1, 1) Model[J].Coal Technology,2012,31(2):101-103. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Yang-peng |
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| Affiliation: | ZHANG Yang-peng(School of Safety Science and Engineering,Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454003,China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to predict the mine gas relative emission for research purposes,using the gray system theory,established gray system GM(1,1) model to predict the mine gas emission volume,and optimize continuously to it,and then by posteriorisent test results judge the prediction model.Examples show that the precision of the model fits for engineering practice,so it can be used in the prediction of mine gas emission.Its method and results have great significance for controling gas and ensuring the safety of mine production. |
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| Keywords: | gray system theory gas emission GM(1 1) model |
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