| 基于混沌理论的电力负荷预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 李眉眉,丁晶. 基于混沌理论的电力负荷预测[J]. 四川水力发电, 2004, 23(4): 51-53 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李眉眉 丁晶 |
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| 作者单位： | 四川大学,水电学院,四川,成都,610065 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(项目编号:40271024) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对电力系统负荷的复杂性及非线性．提出了结合混沌理论的思想．充分利用数据信息。在重构电力负荷相空间的基础上对负荷进行预测．并综合了电力负荷混沌特征量的计算及负荷时问序列的混沌预测方法。以非线性为特征的混沌理论的应用。必将开辟电力系统负荷预测的新途径。
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| 关 键 词： | 电力负荷 混沌序列 相空问重构 奇怪吸引子 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-2184(2004)04-0051-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003-09-10 |
Power Load Prediction Based on Chaos Theory |
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| LI Mei-mei DING Jing. Power Load Prediction Based on Chaos Theory[J]. Sichuan Water Power, 2004, 23(4): 51-53 |
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| Authors: | LI Mei-mei DING Jing |
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| Abstract: | Due to complexity and non-linearity of load in power system ,load prediction is conducted after restructure of power load phase space based on chaos theory concept and by making full use of data and information. At the same time, power load chaos characteristic value computation and load time series are considered generally. Application of chaos theory with non-linearity characteristics will be a new approach for load prediction of power system. |
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| Keywords: | power load chaos series restructure of power load phase space strange attraction |
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