Predictive value of monitoring parameters in fetal surgery

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: The choice of monitoring parameters in fetal surgery has thus far been based on feasibility rather than on predictability. Ideally, monitoring should be noninvasive, have a rapid response time and high sensitivity, and be applicable to open and endoscopic techniques. Herein, the authors studied the response of several parameters to standardized episodes of fetal ischemia and stress. METHODS: Eight time-dated fetal lambs (110 days, term, 145 days) were used. Under general anesthesia, a balloon occluder was placed around the umbilical cord. Pulse oximetry (POx + heart rate, HR), electrocardiography (ECG), direct oximetry (DOx), and blood pressure (BP) were recorded continuously. After stabilization, the umbilical cord was completely occluded for 5 seconds, then released. False-negative recordings were defined as failure of a parameter to respond to umbilical occlusion; false-positive episodes were defined as 10% change in value over < or = 10 seconds during stabilization (baseline) period. RESULTS: The fetuses were monitored for an aggregate of 358 minutes. Baseline DOx was 64%+/-5%, POx, 66%+/-16%; HR, 141+/-18 beats per minute (bpm); systolic BP (SBP), 51+/-3 torr; and diastolic BP (DBP), 38+/-2 torr. During umbilical occlusion (n=15), SBP increased to 56+/-3 torr and DBP to 43+/-2 torr at 0.5 seconds, then returned to baseline at 8.0 seconds. A decrease was seen in DOx (start at 3.5s, maximum delta 9.9+/-1.5% at 10.5 seconds) and POx (start at 4.2 seconds, maximum delta 7.3+/-2.4% at 20.5 seconds). Heart rate showed <10% decrease (start at 8.5 seconds, nadir 131+/-14 bpm at 19.5 seconds). No ECG changes were noted. Sensitivity was 100% for DOx, POx, and BP, but only 14% for HR; specificity was 97% for DOx and 88% for POx; positive predictive value was 58% for DOx and 37% for POx; negative predictive value was 100% for DOx and POx. CONCLUSIONS: Direct intravascular oximetry and blood pressure provide a prompt and reliable response to acute fetal stress, but are too invasive for routine use. Bradycardia is an insensitive and late sign of fetal distress. Pulse oximetry has a rapid response time (<5 seconds), high sensitivity, and negative predictive value. In addition, its application is noninvasive and has proven to be feasible in open and endoscopic fetal surgical procedures. It therefore appears to be the monitoring parameter of choice for fetal surgery.