相应流量自动化实时报汛技术研究与应用

为了研制相应流量计算模型，对常用的相应流量计算模型的适用范围、精度进行了分析，包括单一线模型、单值化模型、动态差分模型、经验绳套模型。针对不同流量的计算方法，结合人机交互技术，建立了相应流量计算模型。通过选择具有不同水位流量关系的典型水文测站，对模型的预报精度进行了验证。验证结果表明：一次洪水过程的大部分时段预报结果与实测结果吻合较好，预报精度提高；测站水位流量关系的静态单值化精度对相应流量自动化实时报汛精度影响很大，是今后继续深入研究的一个方向。

Research on automated real-time forecast technology for corresponding discharge and its application

In order to set up calculation model for corresponding discharge,the analysis on the applied scope,calculation accuracy of conventional corresponding discharge calculation model,such as single-line model,uniformization model,dynamic differential model,experience-based loop curve model,is conducted.For different discharge calculation models,based on human-computer interaction technology,the corresponding discharge calculation models are established and the forecast accuracy of the models is verified by selec...