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Risk Quantification for New Product Design and Development in a Concurrent Engineering Environment
Authors:B. Kayis  M. Zhou  Y.B. Khoo
Affiliation:a University of New South Wales, School of Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering, Sydney, Australia
b The University of Wollongong, School of Mechanical, Materials and Mechatronic Engineering
c CSIRO Manufacturing and Infrastructure Technology, Melbourne, Australia
d Boeing-Hawker de Havilland, Sydney, Australia
Abstract:The challenges of product design and development in concurrent engineering are analysed. Bayesian Belief Networks are applied to map the relationships between risk events in a product's life-cycle. This approach enables the concurrency between risk items to be captured and the cumulative effects of dependencies between risk events to be determined. The inheritance of risks between different phases is modeled and quantified, which is impossible by traditional project management techniques. The combination of these factors has resulted in a user-interactive, unique dynamic risk management software package, which has been commercialised and deployed successfully by a major international manufacturer.
Keywords:Product Development   Concurrent Engineering
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