充分发挥天然气在我国现代能源体系构建中的主力作用——对《天然气发展“十三五”规划》的解读

随着各级政府的天然气"十三五"规划相继出台,以及相关部门对治理灰霾的愈加重视,天然气迎来了成为我国主力能源的战略机遇期。为此,结合中华人民共和国国家发展和改革委员会制定的《天然气发展"十三五"规划》,从供给侧、需求侧、价格体系和基础设施建设等环节入手,预测了我国天然气产业在"十三五"期间的发展态势,从全产业链的角度提出了切实可行的改革建议。研究认为:(1)在供给侧方面,我国天然气产业需要达到可获得(Availability)、运得到(Accessibility)、用得稳(Assurance)、买得起(Affordability)、有责任(Accountability)等5个标准,打造5A级天然气产业链;(2)在需求侧方面,空气污染治理间接推动天然气消费量的增加,燃气发电有望成为消费量增长的主力,天然气交通的发展会为产业带来新机遇。基于上述研究成果,认为当前价格体系和基础设施建设两大短板制约了我国天然气产业的发展,需要通过进一步的改革破除体制机制的障碍,在天然气市场面临诸多不确定性的前提下,充分发挥市场在资源配置中的决定性作用,从而确保天然气在我国现代能源体系的构建中发挥主力作用。

To fully exert the important role of natural gas in building a modern energy security system in China: An understanding of China's National 13th Five-Year Plan for Natural Gas Development

Along with the introduction of 13th Five-Year Plans in succession for natural gas development programmed by governments at all levels and much more attention paid to haze governance by relevant departments, natural gas, as one of the major energy sources, has ushered in a strategic opportunity era . In view of this, based upon China's National 13th Five-Year Plan for Natural Gas Development formulated by the National Development and Reform Commission, the developing trend of natural gas sector was predicted in the period of 13th Five-Year Plan in terms of supply side, demand side, pricing system, infrastructure construction, etc. and some feasible proposals were made on the whole industrial chain. In terms of the supply side, natural gas will be of availability, accessibility, assurance, affordability, and accountability in the production and supply chains. In terms of the demand side, air pollution treatment will indirectly stimulate gas consumption increase. Gas power generation will become the dominant. Natural gas as a transportation fuel will bring a good new opportunity. Thus it is believed that as the present natural gas development is restricted by both gas pricing system and infrastructure construction, further reform should be strengthened to break the barriers of systems and mechanisms; and that due to many uncertainties in the natural gas market, the decisive role of market in the resource allocation should be fully exerted to ensure the main force of natural gas in building a dependable energy strategic system in present and future China.