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中国能源企业对阿尔及利亚直接投资风险动态测度及防范
引用本文:董惠梅,曹怡婷,田诗雨.中国能源企业对阿尔及利亚直接投资风险动态测度及防范[J].中国能源,2022(1):16-23.
作者姓名:董惠梅  曹怡婷  田诗雨
作者单位:1.中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所;2.中国社会科学院大学
基金项目:中国非洲研究院2021年度应急热点课题AfCFTA对中国企业对非直接投资模式影响机制研究(编号:CAI-E2021-10)。
摘    要:为探讨中国能源企业对阿尔及利亚直接投资风险测度的有效方法,揭示东道国国家风险的动态演变规律,本文构建了投资风险指标体系与风险动态测度的"PCA-EM"模型,测算了 2002年—2018年阿尔及利亚投资风险指数,分析了中国能源企业对阿尔及利亚投资风险的变化趋势及特征.结果表明:①中国能源企业对阿尔及利亚的投资风险总体呈小...

关 键 词:能源企业  投资风险  动态测度

Dynamic Measurement and Prevention of Chinese Energy Enterprises' Direct Investment Risks in Algeria
Abstract:In order to explore the effective measurement of direct investment risk of Chinese energy enterprises in Algeria,and reveal the dynamic evolution of the risk of the host country,this paper constructs an index system of investment risk and the"PCA-EM"model for dynamic measurement of risks.The indexes of investment risk of Algeria from 2002 to 2018 are calculated,and the trend and characteristics of Chinese energy enterprises in Algeria are analyzed.The results show:①The overall trend of investment risk of Chinese energy enterprises in Algeria is slightly increasing;②Economic risk and political risk are relatively important factors affecting Chinese energy enterprises'investment in Algeria;③The degree of the influence of economic,political,social and resource risks and other factors on investment risks will change overtime.
Keywords:Energy Enterprises  Investment Risk  Dynamic Measurement
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