Evaluation of accuracy of literature gasoline blending models to predict octane numbers of gasoline blends

The gasoline blending prediction models available in the open literature: Linear method, Ethyl method, Stewart method, Zahed method, and Twu method were tested on 25 gasoline blends prepared from 14 components used by LUKOIL Neftohim Burgas (LNB) refinery to produce commercial gasoline grades. The performed tests with these models showed prediction accuracy outside of the acceptable ASTM D 2699 and ASTM D 2700 reproducibility limits. However, the LNB-modified regression model of Zahed method turned out to predict RON and MON of studied gasoline blends with accuracy equivalent to the reproducibility of the standard methods for measurement of RON and MON.