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基于概率论与证据理论的风电场电能质量评估方法研究
引用本文:王勇,刘金宁,曹曼,王文婷. 基于概率论与证据理论的风电场电能质量评估方法研究[J]. 华北电力大学学报(自然科学版), 2012, 39(3)
作者姓名:王勇  刘金宁  曹曼  王文婷
作者单位:军械工程学院,河北石家庄,050003
摘    要:针对风电场电能质量提出一种基于概率论和证据理论的评估方法。该方法综合模糊评判法和概率统计法评价电能质量各指标样本,引入D-S证据理论计算指标权重,减少了主观因素对评估结果的影响,使评估结果更客观、准确。

关 键 词:概率论  D-S证据理论  电能质量  不确定度

Research on the evaluation method with power quality of wind power based on probability theory and evidence theory
WANG Yong , LIU Jin-ning , CAO Man , WANG Wen-ting. Research on the evaluation method with power quality of wind power based on probability theory and evidence theory[J]. Journal of North China Electric Power University, 2012, 39(3)
Authors:WANG Yong    LIU Jin-ning    CAO Man    WANG Wen-ting
Abstract:An appraisal method based on probability theory and evidence theory was proposed to evaluate the power quality for wind plant.This method modified the probability theory by fuzzy assessment to estimate every index sample,and introduced the D-S evidence theory to calculate the index weight,which abated the force of experts' subjective factors and made the result more objectively and exactly.
Keywords:probability theory  the D-S evidence theory  power quality  uncertainty
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