简化Markov模型的可靠性分析

Markov模型是电子产品系统可靠性分析中最常使用的方法。但在应用Markov模型的时候一个主要的问题是它的巨大的状态数，使得它对复杂系统的建模和分析变得非常困难。本文提出了一种新的简化Markov模型的方法来简化对系统可靠性的分析。并且对该简化方法的误差界限进行了讨论。数值仿真结果表明了该方法的有效性。

A Simplified Markov Model for the Error Bound Analysis of Reliability

Markov model is widely used in reliability analysis of electronic equipments. One of the main issues to apply the Markov method is the challenge called largeness, that is, the huge number of the states. A new method by building a simplified Markov model instead of a comprehensive model is presented to obtain system reliability and availability. And the error bound of the simplified Markov model is mainly discussed. The numerical analysis for a simple example is reported.