资源、环境与经济约束下的我国低碳农业发展水平评价模型构建及应用

文章基于1996-2014年数据,进行了数据标准化处理和评价模型的选定,对我国低碳农业的发展水平进行了测定,同时对我国东中西3个区域低碳农业水平差异和31个省（自治区、直辖市）的低碳农业发展水平差异进行了实证分析。结果表明：1）整体来说,我国低碳农业发展水平较低。在包括美国、英国、中国在内的50个国家及地区内,瑞典的低碳农业已经达到较高水平,进入了低碳农业发展的成熟阶段;瑞士、日本、法国等40个国家（地区）低碳农业已经达到高水平,进入了低碳农业的形成阶段;而我国低碳农业发展水平较低,排名靠后;2）碳排放量高并不等于低碳农业发展水平低,而碳排放量低也不等于低碳农业发展水平高;3）分区域来说,我国东部地区的低碳农业发展水平高于中部又高于西部。由于我国各地区自然条件和社会经济条件存在明显的差异,使得我国在低碳农业发展过程中形成了明显的地区差异,产生了不同的低碳农业发展模式。 

CONSTRUCTION AND APPLICATION OF EVALUATION MODEL OF LOW CARBON AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT LEVEL IN CHINA UNDER CONSTRAINTS OF RESOURCES,ENVIRONMENT AND ECONOMY

This paper, based on data 1996-2014, uses data standardization and evaluation model to measure China's development level of low carbon agriculture, and analyzes their variance among 31 provinces and prefectures, and three regions. Generally, China's low carbon agricultural development level is low among 50 countries/regions, including USA, UK, and Sweden reaches a higher level at mature stage, other forty nations(regions) like Switzerland, Japan and France reach a high level at forming stage. High carbon emission does not mean a low development level of low carbon agriculture, and vice versa. As for regions, eastern China is higher the central and western in low carbon agricultural development level. The variance in China's local natural conditions and social economy makes regional difference in low carbon agricultural development, resulting in different low carbon agricultural models.