| 电力系统中长期负荷预测的新方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 齐志刚,袁晓辉,王金文. 电力系统中长期负荷预测的新方法[J]. 电站系统工程, 2002, 18(6): 39-41 |
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| 作者姓名： | 齐志刚 袁晓辉 王金文 |
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| 作者单位： | 华中科技大学 |
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| 摘 要： | 在分析灰色GM(1,1)模型缺陷的基础上,将遗传算法引入GM(1,1)模型中,对其加以改进,提出一种新的灰色预测方法,用以对电力系统的中长期负荷进行预测。通过仿真计算结果验证了该方法的正确性和有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 中长期负荷预测 遗传算法 GM(1,1)模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-006X(2002)06-0039-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002-03-27 |
A New Method for Mid-long Term Load Forecasting of Power Systems |
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| QI Zhi-gang,YUAN Xiao-hui,WANG Jin-wen. A New Method for Mid-long Term Load Forecasting of Power Systems[J]. Power System Engineering, 2002, 18(6): 39-41 |
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| Authors: | QI Zhi-gang YUAN Xiao-hui WANG Jin-wen |
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| Abstract: | Based on the analysis limitation of GM(1,1) gray model, genetic algorithm is introduced into the model of GM(1,1), a new gray forecasting method is proposed to forecast the mid-long term load of power systems. Simulated calculation results demonstrate that it is an accurate and efficient method. |
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| Keywords: | mid-long term load forecasting Genetic Algorithm GM(1 1) model |
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