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江河堤防防洪能力的风险分析
引用本文:梁在潮,李泰来. 江河堤防防洪能力的风险分析[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2001, 18(2): 7-10
作者姓名:梁在潮  李泰来
作者单位:武汉水利电力大学,湖北 武汉430072
摘    要:江河堤防防洪能力可靠度,反映了堤防最高防洪水位与来流洪水位之间的数量关系。采 用随机变量的分析方法,对河道堤防的防洪能力进行风险分析,给出了河道防洪能力的可 靠度和风险度的定义、风险计算模式和计算方法。并以实例计算了某河段防洪能力的风险度 。

关 键 词:防洪  风险分析  河道堤防  
文章编号:1001-5485(2001)02-0007-04

Risk analysis and computation of flood control capacity for river levee
LIANG Zai chao,LI Tai lai. Risk analysis and computation of flood control capacity for river levee[J]. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute, 2001, 18(2): 7-10
Authors:LIANG Zai chao  LI Tai lai
Abstract:The reliability of the flood control capacity of river levee can reflect the quantitative relation between the designed maximum water level of flood control for the levee and the actual water level in flood season.The risk analysis of the flood control capacity for river levee is conducted by a stochastic variable method.The definition of reliability and the risk for flood control capacity,the model and computation method of risk analysis are given.And as an illustration,the risk levels of flood control capacity for some reaches are computed.
Keywords:flood control  risk analysis  river levee  
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