Multi‐period planning,design, and strategic models for long‐term,quality‐sensitive shale gas development

In this work we address the long‐term, quality‐sensitive shale gas development problem. This problem involves planning, design, and strategic decisions such as where, when, and how many shale gas wells to drill, where to lay out gathering pipelines, as well as which delivery agreements to arrange. Our objective is to use computational models to identify the most profitable shale gas development strategies. For this purpose we propose a large‐scale, nonconvex, mixed‐integer nonlinear programming model. We rely on generalized disjunctive programming to systematically derive the building blocks of this model. Based on a tailor‐designed solution strategy we identify near‐global solutions to the resulting large‐scale problems. Finally, we apply the proposed modeling framework to two case studies based on real data to quantify the value of optimization models for shale gas development. Our results suggest that the proposed models can increase upstream operators’ profitability by several million U.S. dollars. © 2016 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 62: 2296–2323, 2016