| 哈尔滨机场雷暴分析预报系统的研发及应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄红兵,钟伟,赵凯.哈尔滨机场雷暴分析预报系统的研发及应用[J].气象水文海洋仪器,2013(4):84-87,91. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄红兵 钟伟 赵凯 |
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| 作者单位： | 民航黑龙江空中交通管理分局,哈尔滨150079 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用现有气象设备,采用多种高级编程语言,研就开发了哈尔滨机场雷暴分析预报系统.该系统利用现有气象信息网资源,实现初始数据自动读取和综合分析处理;采用相似分析技术,实现雷暴天气形势的自动相似判别;利用天气学方法和数理统计方法,建立集成分析预报模式,实现0～24 h雷暴概率短期预报;基于天气雷达回波,采用交叉相关算法,实现0～1 h强对流临近预报预警.
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| 关 键 词： | 雷暴 预报系统 相似判别 短期预报 临近预报 |
Development and application of thunderstorm forecasting system at Harbin airport |
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| Huang Hongbing,Zhong Wei,Zhao Kai.Development and application of thunderstorm forecasting system at Harbin airport[J].Meteorological，Hydrological and Marine Instruments,2013(4):84-87,91. |
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| Authors: | Huang Hongbing Zhong Wei Zhao Kai |
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| Affiliation: | ( Heilongjiang Air Traffic Management Sub-bureau of CAAC, Harbin 150079) |
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| Abstract: | By means of the existing meteorological equipments and a variety of high-level programming languages, the thunderstorm forecasting system in Harbin airport is researched and developed. Based on the meteorological information network, the initial data can be read and analyzed automatically. The thunderstorm weather situation can be discriminated automatically by using the analog discriminatory analysis method. The weather forecast model is established by adopting synoptic forecasting and mathematical statistics method,which can issue 0-24h thunderstorm probability prediction. According to weather radar echoes and cross-correlation method, severe convection weather is predicted and warned within one hour. |
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| Keywords: | thunderstorm forecasting system analog discriminatory analysis short-term forecasting nowcasting |
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