| 用灰色系统理论进行径流预测研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 徐建新,李振全,张福芬,邱林.用灰色系统理论进行径流预测研究[J].华北水利水电学院学报,2005,26(3):1-3. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 徐建新 李振全 张福芬 邱林 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 华北水利水电学院,河南,郑州,450011;北京市门头沟区水资源局,北京,102300 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 河南省高校创新人才培养工程项目. |
| |
| 摘 要： | 应用灰色理论建立了GM(1,1)模型,对华北地区某典型区地表径流量进行了预测,经残差检验证明所建模型具有可行性和适应性,预测成果为研究区域的水资源综合规划提供了依据.该方法可供相关县级小区域水资源评价与规划参考.
|
| 关 键 词： | 地表径流量 灰色模型 残差检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-5634（2005）03-0001-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-11-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年11月2日 |
Application and Research of Grey System Theory in Surface Runoff Forecast |
| |
| XU Jian-xin,LI Zhen-quan,ZHANG Fu-fen,QIU Lin.Application and Research of Grey System Theory in Surface Runoff Forecast[J].Journal of North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power,2005,26(3):1-3. |
| |
| Authors: | XU Jian-xin LI Zhen-quan ZHANG Fu-fen QIU Lin |
| |
| Abstract: | A GM(1,1) model with grey system theory is given and forecast in surface runoff of an area in North China is offered. With the residual error verification,the model is found feasible and adaptable.On this basis ,through the forecast synthestical planning of water resources in some regions can be obtained.This method can be regarded as a reference for water resources appraising and planning in some county districts concerned. |
| |
| Keywords: | surface runoff grey model residual error verification |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
